Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season on his home court.
Keegan Murray has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home.
Keegan Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 4.2 shots from downtown per game (7th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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