Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 22, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has played 35.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 8th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Keegan Murray stands to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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