Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has compiled 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Keegan Murray has tallied 32.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production across the board.

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