Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings.
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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