Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year.
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
The Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.

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