Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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