Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 2:15 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.6 minutes per game this year.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray stands to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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