Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the 7th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has captured 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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