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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Assists
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The 7th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray should see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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