Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied a whopping 2.0 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.2 assists per game last year.
In comparison to last year's 29.1 mark, Keegan Murray's playing time has jumped this year to 34.2 minutes per game.
The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 10.7 offensive boards per game over the last 6 games.

Favors Under

While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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