Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 6:11 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+171/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +171.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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