Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.
Keegan Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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