Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-244).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year.
The Celtics have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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