Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has played 28.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Kings.
When playing at home, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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