Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 5:02 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 29.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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