Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+134/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has played 29.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Kings.
Keegan Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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