Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+141/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -179 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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