Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +178 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production for all stats.

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