Keaton Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Keaton Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Keaton Wallace

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keaton Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keaton Wallace has sunk 66.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 17.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year at home.
Keaton Wallace has sunk 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 18.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season while at home.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.9% on 3-pointers (7th-best in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a good matchup.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home in terms of three-point attempts.
The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).

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