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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has converted 10.1 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Kawhi Leonard has converted 52.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.

Kawhi Leonard has played 36.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup against Denver is a good one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's lackluster 12.5 converted threes per game places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.

The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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