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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has notched 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's notched over the course of the season.

Kawhi Leonard has played 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's played overall this season.

The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the league) against the Nuggets, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Kawhi Leonard has made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the LA Clippers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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