Kawhi Leonard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Kawhi Leonard

NBA · Player Props

Kawhi Leonard

F · LA Clippers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 9.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Kawhi Leonard has converted 47.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Kawhi Leonard has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile.
In terms of shooting, the Clippers's outstanding 123.8 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The 6th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Clippers.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Kawhi Leonard will likely see a decline in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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