Kawhi Leonard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Kawhi Leonard

NBA · Player Props

Kawhi Leonard

F · LA Clippers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard comes in at the 87th percentile for shots, tallying 14.1 per game this year.
The LA Clippers have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a good matchup.
The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).
Kawhi Leonard should experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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