Kawhi Leonard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Kawhi Leonard

F · LA Clippers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs LA Clippers · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 11:25 PM EST

Analysis

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kawhi Leonard has sunk 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
With respect to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's outstanding 37.6% rate of successful threes away from their home court ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, they have given up the 6th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 24 games (16.4).
Out of all players in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard slots into the 87th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a monstrous 3.6 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 40.0% clip, Kawhi Leonard's 3-point effectiveness has declined this year to 28.0%.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Clippers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).
The Clippers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kawhi Leonard should suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of playing away from home in this game.