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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
  • The LA Clippers have been the 10th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase possessions for the Clippers.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs have the home court advantage (6th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has converted a lowly 25.2% of his three-point shots this year, significantly less than his 40.0 mark last year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 36.0% on field goals (worst in the league) against the Spurs, creating a tough matchup.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Kawhi Leonard is expected to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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