Kawhi Leonard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kawhi Leonard

F · LA Clippers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard rates in the 96th percentile for shots made, tallying a colossal 8.6 per game since the start of last season.
Kawhi Leonard has tallied 33.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 1.9 threes per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Suns, creating a good matchup.
Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 33.3% higher than he's made in all games this season.
As a team, the Clippers have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line recently: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home with 23.7 free throws per game.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the LA Clippers.
The Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.