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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2025

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has compiled 21.3 points per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.

Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.

When it comes to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's fantastic 39.9% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.

The 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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