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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.

The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are at home (3rd-least in the league).

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