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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has converted 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's converted in all games this season.
  • Kawhi Leonard has averaged 34.0 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 10thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
  • Relative to last year's 4.8 mark, Kawhi Leonard's free throws drained have fallen this year to 3.6 per game.
  • As a team, the Clippers have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying just 20.8 foul shots per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the league).

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