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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 more than he's converted overall this year when playing away from home.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
  • The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 13 games (the Trail Blazers).
  • The Clippers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Kawhi Leonard will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Clippers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Trail Blazers are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.5).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Relative to last year's 4.8 rate, Kawhi Leonard's free throws drained have regressed this year to 3.3 per game.

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