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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has sunk a whopping 9.4 baskets per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.9 mark last season.
  • Relative to last year's 1.9 rate, Kawhi Leonard's 3-pointers sunk have surged this year to 2.4 per game.
  • Kawhi Leonard has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. Utah is a good one; when the Utah Jazz are at home, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (21.1).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
  • The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).
  • Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
  • Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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