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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has attempted 5.9 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 4.8 rate last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.7 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • In terms of three-point shots, the Clippers's remarkable 12.7 made threes per game playing at home places 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Kawhi Leonard will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has posted a measly 20.4 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 24.2 points per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.2).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Clippers.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (11th-least in the NBA).

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