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Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-155/+115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Kawhi Leonard has attempted 20.5 field goals per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 17.7 rate last season.Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.In contrast to last year's 33.9 rate, Kawhi Leonard's playing time has risen this year to 35.8 minutes per game.When it comes to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's outstanding 37.6% rate of converted threes places 4th-most in the NBA since the start of last season.The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one; when the Mavericks are away from home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs since the start of last season (18.1).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Kawhi Leonard has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark additional chances for offense).Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
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