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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has scored 23.0 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.

Kawhi Leonard has played 32.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.

The LA Clippers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (23.4).

On their home court, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Clippers.

The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kawhi Leonard will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

More Kawhi Leonard Player Props

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