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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has averaged 23.0 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.

Kawhi Leonard has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile.

The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Clippers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.

The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the league).

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