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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has averaged 22.7 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.
  • Kawhi Leonard has averaged 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Clippers.
  • While on their home court, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
  • The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Denver may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are at home (11th-least in the NBA).
  • Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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