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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2023

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kawhi Leonard has scored 22.1 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 94th percentile.

Kawhi Leonard has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.

The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.4%).

The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Sacramento may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Kings are the visiting squad (13th-least in the league).

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