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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has attempted 22.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
  • Kawhi Leonard has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's played over the course of the year.
  • The matchup against Tim Hardaway Jr. is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a colossal 12.1 field goals per game (-169 percentile).
  • The LA Clippers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The LA Clippers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
  • The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.4).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
  • The matchup against Tim Hardaway Jr. is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; when guarding opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.8 free throws per game (90th percentile).

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