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Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard Assists
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kawhi Leonard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kawhi Leonard has totaled 4.3 assists per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • Kawhi Leonard has averaged 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Clippers.
  • While on their home court, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
  • The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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