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Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 21.6 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile.Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year.The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 93rd percentile for free throws drained without the home court advantage, averaging a massive 3.9 per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the year.This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
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