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Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Karl-Anthony Towns has put up 21.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 90th percentile.

Karl-Anthony Towns has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court (13th-least in the league).

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