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Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Karl-Anthony Towns has made 8.1 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.7 minutes per game this year.The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup.This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
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