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Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 14.6 clip, Karl-Anthony Towns's field goal attempts have spiked this season to 20.0 per game.

Karl-Anthony Towns has played a whopping 35.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 32.6 minutes per game last year.

Compared to last season's 3.9 mark, Karl-Anthony Towns's personal fouls per game have dropped this season to 2.8.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 11.8 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 15.7 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (saving possessions that can bring about added chances for offense).

The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the NBA).

Karl-Anthony Towns should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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