Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 1.8 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Karl-Anthony Towns has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Karl-Anthony Towns will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance across the board.