Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 2.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.7 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's excellent 42.2% rate of successful threes places 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production across the board.