Karl-Anthony Towns Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Karl-Anthony Towns

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has played an impressive 36.6 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 32.6 minutes per game last year.
Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for a lowly 2.8 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.9 fouls per game last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.4 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has totaled a lowly 2.3 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 4.4 assists per game last season.
The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the league as the visting team with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Karl-Anthony Towns will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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