Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has totaled 9.5 defensive boards per game while at home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Jusuf Nurkic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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