Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 58.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.
Jusuf Nurkic has made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.8% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Compared to last year's 3.4 rate, Jusuf Nurkic's personal fouls per game have regressed this year to 2.5.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a positive matchup.
The Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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