Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 63.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Jusuf Nurkic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 27.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season away from home.

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).
The Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Jusuf Nurkic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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