Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 60.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season with the home court advantage.
The Suns have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Suns will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year at home.
The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line lands in just the 86th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The number of treys attempted against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (1.0 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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